Turkey vs Azerbaijan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.2%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
14%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
4.6%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Turkey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
TUR
1 - 3
GER
22%
23%
55%
|
91 | 97 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
AUT
0 - 0
TUR
36%
27%
37%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
TUR
2 - 1
KAZ
81%
14%
5%
|
91 | 65 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
TUR
3 - 0
EST
77%
16%
7%
|
91 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 1
TUR
44%
26%
30%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
AZE
1 - 4
AUT
13%
20%
67%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
AZE
3 - 2
KAZ
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
AZE
1 - 1
BEL
14%
24%
62%
|
65 | 89 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
AZE
0 - 1
MKD
23%
28%
50%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2011 |
AZE
1 - 3
GER
7%
17%
76%
|
66 | 97 | 31 | -1 |