Tunisia vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
11.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1978 |
MAR
1 - 1
TUN
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1978 |
TUN
2 - 1
LBY
76%
15%
10%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1978 |
LBY
0 - 0
TUN
37%
24%
39%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1977 |
TUN
4 - 1
EGY
49%
22%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1977 |
EGY
3 - 2
TUN
64%
19%
17%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1978 |
UGA
3 - 1
CGO
57%
22%
22%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1977 |
UGA
5 - 3
ZAM
55%
21%
25%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 1977 |
UGA
1 - 0
MWI
60%
19%
21%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1977 |
SOM
0 - 1
UGA
45%
22%
33%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1977 |
UGA
3 - 1
KEN
57%
21%
23%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |