Tunisia vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.8%
Win probability
3.47
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.8%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
4.8%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
9%
4-1
6.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4%
2-2
3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.5%
5.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1962 |
ETH
4 - 2
TUN
54%
20%
25%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1960 |
MLT
1 - 0
TUN
51%
20%
29%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1960 |
TUN
0 - 3
DDR
87%
9%
4%
|
67 | 28 | 39 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1960 |
DEN
3 - 1
TUN
81%
11%
8%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1960 |
TUN
1 - 2
ARG
43%
23%
33%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 1962 |
EGY
2 - 1
UGA
87%
9%
5%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |