Tunisia vs Sierra Leone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
10.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
TOG
1 - 1
TUN
12%
21%
67%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
CIV
3 - 0
TUN
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2013 |
TUN
1 - 0
ALG
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
GHA
4 - 2
TUN
43%
27%
31%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2013 |
TUN
1 - 1
GAB
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Sierra Leone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
TUN
0 - 0
SLE
73%
18%
9%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SLE
2 - 2
TUN
18%
26%
56%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2012 |
SLE
4 - 2
STP
76%
17%
7%
|
67 | 40 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
EQG
2 - 2
SLE
26%
24%
50%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
SLE
2 - 1
CPV
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |