Tunisia vs Senegal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
24.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
TUN
1 - 1
GUI
69%
19%
12%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2004 |
TUN
3 - 0
COD
62%
22%
17%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
TUN
2 - 1
RWA
77%
16%
8%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
TUN
2 - 1
BEN
87%
10%
3%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2004 |
TUN
2 - 0
BEN
87%
10%
3%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Senegal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2004 |
SEN
1 - 1
MLI
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2004 |
SEN
3 - 0
KEN
70%
18%
11%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2004 |
SEN
0 - 0
BFA
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
SEN
2 - 1
RSA
46%
27%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
SEN
1 - 0
CIV
47%
27%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |