Tunisia vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
12.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2006 |
TUN
2 - 0
GHA
64%
22%
14%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2006 |
TUN
1 - 0
LBY
66%
21%
13%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2005 |
EGY
1 - 2
TUN
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2005 |
COD
2 - 2
TUN
32%
30%
39%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2005 |
TUN
2 - 2
MAR
45%
29%
26%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec. 2005 |
ZIM
1 - 1
ZAM
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2005 |
ZAM
4 - 1
COD
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
COD
1 - 1
ZAM
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
LBR
0 - 5
ZAM
18%
24%
58%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2005 |
COD
0 - 0
ZAM
49%
25%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |