Tunisia vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
49.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1977 |
QAT
1 - 0
TUN
40%
24%
36%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1977 |
TUN
0 - 1
MLT
73%
16%
12%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1976 |
MLT
1 - 1
TUN
35%
24%
41%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1976 |
TUN
3 - 0
LBY
76%
14%
9%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1976 |
KSA
0 - 1
TUN
50%
23%
28%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1976 |
BRA
2 - 0
SUN
69%
21%
11%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
ARG
0 - 0
SUN
57%
24%
19%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 1976 |
SUN
2 - 0
BRA
44%
24%
32%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 1976 |
SUN
1 - 2
DDR
61%
20%
19%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1976 |
SUN
2 - 1
IRN
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |