Tunisia vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.1%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
50.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1992 |
TUN
2 - 1
BEL
25%
31%
44%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1992 |
TUN
1 - 1
NGA
51%
26%
24%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1991 |
TUN
2 - 2
CMR
34%
25%
41%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1991 |
TUN
5 - 3
CIV
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1991 |
TUN
0 - 0
ALG
33%
28%
39%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1992 |
AUS
1 - 0
SWE
33%
29%
39%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1992 |
AUS
1 - 0
SWE
31%
28%
41%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1992 |
AUS
0 - 0
SWE
31%
28%
41%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1991 |
SUI
3 - 1
SWE
33%
28%
39%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1991 |
SWE
4 - 3
YUG
46%
26%
28%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |