Tunisia vs Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
17%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
16%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
6.2%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
EQG
0 - 1
TUN
12%
23%
66%
|
82 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
TUN
4 - 1
LBY
66%
23%
12%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
LBY
1 - 2
TUN
26%
27%
47%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
TUN
0 - 0
CMR
45%
28%
28%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
TUN
1 - 0
LBY
65%
22%
12%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
RSA
1 - 0
SDN
72%
20%
8%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
SDN
4 - 0
STP
73%
17%
11%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
SDN
1 - 2
TAN
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
TAN
0 - 1
SDN
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
SDN
0 - 0
CHA
69%
18%
13%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |