Tunisia vs Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.6%
1-0
16.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.8%
8.3%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2011 |
EUS
0 - 2
TUN
37%
26%
37%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
ALG
1 - 0
TUN
33%
28%
40%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
TUN
2 - 0
TOG
74%
17%
8%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
MWI
0 - 0
TUN
17%
25%
58%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2011 |
JOR
3 - 3
TUN
29%
29%
43%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2011 |
BDI
0 - 2
SDN
22%
27%
50%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
KEN
0 - 1
SDN
38%
28%
35%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
MWI
0 - 0
SDN
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
SDN
2 - 3
UGA
42%
26%
33%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
CMR
3 - 1
SDN
72%
19%
8%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | -1 |