Tunisia vs Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
16%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
16.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
8.9%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
KEN
1 - 2
TUN
23%
28%
49%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2009 |
TUN
1 - 1
NED
11%
21%
67%
|
86 | 99 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
GHA
0 - 0
TUN
43%
29%
28%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2008 |
FRA
3 - 1
TUN
77%
17%
6%
|
86 | 99 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
TUN
5 - 0
SYC
89%
9%
2%
|
86 | 45 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
SDN
1 - 1
MLI
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
SDN
0 - 2
UGA
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2009 |
ZAM
0 - 2
SDN
61%
24%
16%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2009 |
BDI
1 - 0
SDN
25%
27%
49%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
SDN
1 - 1
DJI
82%
12%
6%
|
68 | 35 | 33 | 0 |