Tunisia vs Rwanda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
13%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
17.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.7%
1-0
16%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.6%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
0
15.6%
5.6%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
TUN
1 - 1
PER
41%
28%
31%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
GHA
2 - 1
TUN
35%
27%
38%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
GAB
1 - 0
TUN
17%
24%
59%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
NIG
1 - 2
TUN
9%
19%
72%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
TUN
46%
26%
28%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2012 |
LBY
2 - 0
RWA
71%
19%
11%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
RWA
0 - 0
NGA
18%
29%
53%
|
59 | 88 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2011 |
RWA
2 - 0
ZIM
23%
24%
52%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
TAN
0 - 1
RWA
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
RWA
3 - 1
ERI
75%
17%
9%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | +1 |