Tunisia vs Rwanda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
TUN
2 - 1
BEN
87%
10%
3%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2004 |
TUN
2 - 0
BEN
87%
10%
3%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
TUN
2 - 0
RSA
46%
27%
28%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
TUN
0 - 0
MAR
41%
29%
31%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2003 |
TUN
0 - 1
JPN
31%
27%
42%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Rwanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2004 |
EGY
5 - 1
RWA
92%
6%
2%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2003 |
UGA
2 - 0
RWA
63%
20%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2003 |
KEN
3 - 4
RWA
65%
21%
15%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2003 |
SDN
3 - 0
RWA
43%
24%
33%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
NAM
1 - 1
RWA
30%
23%
47%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |