Tunisia vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
35.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
SEN
1 - 0
TUN
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
MAD
0 - 3
TUN
17%
24%
59%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2019 |
GHA
1 - 1
TUN
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2019 |
MTN
0 - 0
TUN
15%
23%
62%
|
81 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2019 |
TUN
1 - 1
MLI
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
ALG
2 - 1
NGA
38%
26%
36%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2019 |
NGA
2 - 1
RSA
54%
24%
23%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
NGA
3 - 2
CMR
52%
25%
24%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2019 |
MAD
2 - 0
NGA
14%
24%
62%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2019 |
NGA
1 - 0
GUI
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |