Tunisia vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
17.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 1985 |
NGA
1 - 0
TUN
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1985 |
TUN
1 - 0
ALG
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1985 |
GHA
0 - 2
TUN
55%
23%
22%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1984 |
ALG
3 - 1
TUN
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1984 |
CIV
3 - 1
TUN
52%
23%
26%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 1985 |
NGA
1 - 0
TUN
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1985 |
CIV
1 - 1
NGA
61%
21%
19%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1985 |
CIV
1 - 1
NGA
61%
21%
19%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1985 |
NGA
2 - 0
CIV
44%
24%
32%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 1985 |
NGA
0 - 0
CIV
44%
24%
32%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |