Tunisia vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
30.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 1980 |
TUN
0 - 1
MAR
56%
21%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1980 |
SEN
0 - 2
TUN
42%
25%
33%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1980 |
MAR
0 - 0
TUN
59%
21%
20%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1980 |
CIV
1 - 1
TUN
45%
24%
31%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1980 |
GHA
4 - 1
TUN
64%
19%
17%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 1980 |
TOG
0 - 1
NGA
27%
24%
49%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1980 |
NGA
3 - 0
ALG
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 1980 |
NGA
1 - 0
MAR
65%
20%
16%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1980 |
NGA
1 - 0
EGY
58%
21%
21%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1980 |
NGA
0 - 0
CIV
73%
16%
11%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |