Tunisia vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
23.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 1977 |
TUN
2 - 1
MLT
71%
16%
13%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
TUN
0 - 3
SUN
23%
27%
50%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1977 |
QAT
1 - 0
TUN
40%
24%
36%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1977 |
TUN
0 - 1
MLT
73%
16%
12%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1976 |
MLT
1 - 1
TUN
35%
24%
41%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
NGA
2 - 1
GHA
51%
21%
28%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1977 |
NGA
2 - 0
SLE
73%
15%
12%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1977 |
CIV
2 - 2
NGA
43%
23%
34%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1977 |
NGA
4 - 0
CIV
67%
18%
15%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1977 |
NGA
7 - 0
BEN
83%
11%
6%
|
71 | 39 | 32 | 0 |