Tunisia vs Mexico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
28.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1978 |
FRA
2 - 0
TUN
78%
15%
8%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
TUN
0 - 4
NED
21%
24%
55%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1978 |
NGA
2 - 0
TUN
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1978 |
GHA
1 - 0
TUN
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1978 |
CGO
0 - 0
TUN
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Mexico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1978 |
FIN
0 - 1
MEX
20%
21%
60%
|
83 | 53 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1978 |
ESP
2 - 0
MEX
71%
19%
10%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1978 |
MEX
0 - 1
PER
64%
22%
14%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1978 |
MEX
3 - 0
BGR
58%
24%
18%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1978 |
SLV
1 - 5
MEX
30%
25%
44%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |