Tunisia vs Morocco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
24.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
EQG
1 - 1
TUN
11%
22%
67%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
SLE
2 - 2
TUN
19%
26%
56%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
TUN
2 - 1
SLE
71%
19%
10%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
TOG
1 - 1
TUN
12%
21%
67%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
CIV
3 - 0
TUN
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Morocco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 0
GAM
76%
17%
7%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 1
TAN
72%
19%
9%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
TAN
3 - 1
MAR
18%
27%
54%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 2
RSA
44%
26%
31%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
CPV
70%
19%
11%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |