Tunisia vs Japan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
60.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2002 |
TUN
1 - 1
BEL
8%
17%
76%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2002 |
RUS
2 - 0
TUN
75%
16%
8%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2002 |
DEN
2 - 1
TUN
78%
16%
6%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
SVN
1 - 0
TUN
64%
21%
16%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
TUN
0 - 0
NOR
23%
25%
53%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Japan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2002 |
JPN
1 - 0
RUS
40%
25%
35%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2002 |
JPN
2 - 2
BEL
25%
23%
52%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2002 |
JPN
1 - 1
SWE
36%
27%
37%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2002 |
NOR
3 - 0
JPN
56%
24%
20%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2002 |
JPN
3 - 3
HND
54%
23%
23%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |