Tunisia vs Iraq analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
ALG
1 - 0
TUN
44%
26%
30%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
TUN
4 - 0
SWZ
84%
13%
3%
|
81 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
TUN
0 - 1
MAR
33%
28%
39%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2018 |
EGY
3 - 2
TUN
59%
23%
19%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
NIG
1 - 2
TUN
14%
22%
65%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Iraq
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2019 |
IRQ
3 - 2
JOR
50%
27%
23%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
IRQ
1 - 0
SYR
44%
27%
30%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2019 |
QAT
1 - 0
IRQ
53%
23%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
IRN
0 - 0
IRQ
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
YEM
0 - 3
IRQ
12%
21%
68%
|
78 | 50 | 28 | +1 |