Tunisia vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
13%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
54.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
18.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1989 |
TUN
0 - 4
EGY
31%
26%
43%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1989 |
TUN
0 - 0
ALG
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 1989 |
TUN
3 - 0
MWI
53%
24%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 1989 |
EGY
1 - 1
TUN
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1989 |
MWI
1 - 0
TUN
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1990 |
ENG
1 - 2
URU
69%
21%
10%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1990 |
ENG
1 - 0
DEN
69%
21%
10%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1990 |
ENG
4 - 2
CSK
66%
22%
12%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1990 |
ENG
1 - 0
BRA
41%
28%
32%
|
93 | 96 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1989 |
ENG
2 - 1
YUG
58%
23%
19%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |