Tunisia vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
55.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1978 |
NGA
2 - 0
TUN
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1978 |
GHA
1 - 0
TUN
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1978 |
CGO
0 - 0
TUN
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1978 |
TUN
3 - 1
UGA
73%
15%
12%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1978 |
MAR
1 - 1
TUN
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1978 |
ISR
1 - 2
NED
33%
28%
39%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1977 |
NED
1 - 0
BEL
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1977 |
NIR
0 - 1
NED
31%
28%
42%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1977 |
NED
0 - 0
SUN
54%
25%
22%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1977 |
NED
4 - 1
ISL
96%
3%
1%
|
87 | 53 | 34 | 0 |