Tunisia vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
TUN
4 - 1
LBR
83%
12%
5%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
DJI
0 - 3
TUN
10%
19%
71%
|
82 | 33 | 49 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
TOG
0 - 0
TUN
18%
25%
57%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
TUN
1 - 0
TOG
75%
17%
8%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
TUN
1 - 2
MLI
61%
23%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
GUI
1 - 0
ZIM
58%
23%
19%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2016 |
EGY
1 - 1
GUI
74%
17%
9%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
SWZ
1 - 0
GUI
10%
18%
72%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
MWI
1 - 2
GUI
18%
23%
59%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
GUI
0 - 0
MWI
71%
19%
10%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |