Tunisia vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
TUN
2 - 1
MTN
79%
16%
6%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
MTN
1 - 2
TUN
13%
23%
64%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
TUN
2 - 3
MAR
46%
27%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
TUN
1 - 0
LBY
65%
22%
13%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
TUN
3 - 3
GAB
66%
21%
13%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
GUI
2 - 0
NAM
67%
21%
13%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
NAM
0 - 1
GUI
20%
24%
57%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
SEN
3 - 1
GUI
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
GUI
2 - 0
SEN
35%
28%
37%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
GUI
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |