Tunisia vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
BOT
1 - 3
TUN
9%
22%
69%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2005 |
TUN
4 - 1
ANG
58%
24%
18%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
TUN
7 - 0
MWI
72%
19%
10%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2004 |
MWI
2 - 2
TUN
21%
28%
51%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
MAR
1 - 1
TUN
55%
26%
19%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
GUI
1 - 0
KEN
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 0
GUI
68%
21%
12%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
GUI
2 - 2
MLI
41%
27%
32%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2004 |
KEN
2 - 1
GUI
46%
26%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
GUI
1 - 1
MAR
29%
31%
41%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |