Tunisia vs Gabon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
12.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
LBR
1 - 0
TUN
12%
21%
68%
|
81 | 54 | 27 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2015 |
LBY
1 - 0
TUN
23%
27%
50%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
TUN
45%
27%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2015 |
TUN
8 - 1
DJI
85%
12%
3%
|
82 | 35 | 47 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
CHN
1 - 1
TUN
53%
25%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
RWA
0 - 1
GAB
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
ZAM
1 - 1
GAB
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
GAB
4 - 0
SDN
59%
25%
17%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
GAB
0 - 0
CIV
19%
24%
57%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
NIG
2 - 1
GAB
23%
26%
52%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | -1 |