Tunisia vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
63%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1990 |
TUN
1 - 3
NOR
32%
26%
43%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1990 |
TUN
0 - 0
MAR
35%
26%
39%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1990 |
TUN
1 - 1
ENG
17%
28%
54%
|
69 | 94 | 25 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1989 |
TUN
0 - 4
EGY
31%
26%
43%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1989 |
TUN
0 - 0
ALG
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1990 |
FIN
0 - 0
POR
26%
25%
49%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1990 |
FIN
1 - 1
CSK
28%
30%
42%
|
68 | 90 | 22 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1990 |
SWE
6 - 0
FIN
76%
18%
7%
|
69 | 90 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 May. 1990 |
IRL
1 - 1
FIN
80%
14%
7%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 1990 |
USA
2 - 1
FIN
61%
21%
18%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |