Tunisia vs Brazil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.5%
Win probability
0.3
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.4%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
0.7%
3-2
0.1%
+1
3%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.3%
83.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
17%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
19.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
24.6%
0-3
15.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.2%
-3
18%
0-4
8.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
10.1%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.2%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1973 |
ALG
2 - 1
TUN
61%
20%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
TUN
0 - 5
YUG
24%
25%
51%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1972 |
TUN
1 - 2
ALG
49%
23%
28%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Jun. 1972 |
TUN
3 - 1
ALG
47%
23%
31%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1971 |
TUN
1 - 0
SRB
36%
23%
41%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Brazil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1973 |
ALG
0 - 2
BRA
5%
15%
81%
|
92 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1973 |
BRA
5 - 0
BOL
94%
5%
1%
|
92 | 65 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1972 |
IRN
1 - 0
BRA
31%
25%
44%
|
92 | 72 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1972 |
HUN
2 - 2
BRA
58%
20%
22%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
DEN
3 - 2
BRA
31%
25%
44%
|
93 | 74 | 19 | -1 |