Tunisia vs Australia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.8%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
33.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1997 |
TUN
4 - 0
NAM
85%
12%
3%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1997 |
TUN
2 - 0
NGA
47%
29%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1997 |
TUN
3 - 1
ZAM
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 1997 |
TUN
1 - 0
MLI
73%
18%
10%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1997 |
EGY
0 - 0
TUN
61%
22%
16%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Australia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 1997 |
AUS
2 - 0
NZL
66%
22%
13%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1997 |
NZL
0 - 3
AUS
36%
28%
36%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1997 |
TAH
0 - 2
AUS
21%
28%
51%
|
86 | 45 | 41 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 1997 |
SOL
2 - 6
AUS
21%
28%
51%
|
86 | 41 | 45 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1997 |
AUS
5 - 0
TAH
76%
17%
7%
|
86 | 47 | 39 | 0 |