Tunisia vs Algeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
15.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
GHA
4 - 2
TUN
43%
27%
31%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2013 |
TUN
1 - 1
GAB
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2013 |
ETH
1 - 1
TUN
17%
25%
58%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
TUN
2 - 1
IRQ
54%
25%
22%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
TUN
1 - 2
SUI
28%
27%
46%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
RSA
0 - 0
ALG
55%
27%
18%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
ALG
0 - 1
BIH
40%
27%
34%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ALG
2 - 0
LBY
64%
22%
14%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
LBY
0 - 1
ALG
46%
28%
27%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2012 |
ALG
4 - 1
GAM
71%
19%
10%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |