Tunisia vs Madagascar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.2%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
8.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
NAM
0 - 0
TUN
16%
25%
59%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2024 |
TUN
1 - 0
EQG
69%
20%
12%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
NZL
0 - 0
TUN
21%
26%
54%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
TUN
0 - 0
CRO
19%
24%
57%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
RSA
0 - 0
TUN
28%
26%
46%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
MAD
0 - 0
MLI
23%
26%
51%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
MAD
2 - 1
COM
59%
23%
18%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
MAD
0 - 2
RWA
55%
25%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -2 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
MAD
1 - 0
BDI
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2023 |
CHA
0 - 3
MAD
14%
20%
66%
|
64 | 46 | 18 | 0 |