CHAN Primera Ronda Final
Global 3-1
Tunisia vs Libya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
12.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
TUN
1 - 2
CIV
37%
27%
36%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
TUN
1 - 0
MTN
74%
18%
8%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
TUN
0 - 1
NGA
37%
27%
36%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
SEN
1 - 0
TUN
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2019 |
MAD
0 - 3
TUN
17%
24%
59%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Libya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
LBY
1 - 2
RSA
24%
26%
51%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
SYC
1 - 8
LBY
5%
12%
84%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
LBY
2 - 3
NGA
23%
29%
49%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
NGA
4 - 0
LBY
77%
16%
7%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
RSA
0 - 0
LBY
61%
24%
15%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |