Tunisia vs Liberia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
5.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
DJI
0 - 3
TUN
10%
19%
71%
|
82 | 33 | 49 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
TOG
0 - 0
TUN
18%
25%
57%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
TUN
1 - 0
TOG
75%
17%
8%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
TUN
1 - 2
MLI
61%
23%
17%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2016 |
NIG
0 - 5
TUN
14%
23%
63%
|
81 | 58 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
LBR
2 - 2
TOG
28%
24%
47%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
LBR
5 - 0
DJI
69%
20%
12%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
DJI
0 - 1
LBR
15%
19%
66%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
CIV
3 - 0
LBR
92%
6%
2%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
LBR
0 - 1
CIV
6%
16%
78%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | 0 |