Tunisia vs Equatorial Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
NZL
0 - 0
TUN
21%
26%
54%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
TUN
0 - 0
HRV
19%
24%
57%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
ZAF
0 - 0
TUN
28%
26%
46%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
TUN
1 - 1
MLI
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2024 |
TUN
0 - 1
NAM
73%
18%
9%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
CPV
1 - 0
GNQ
45%
25%
31%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
KHM
0 - 2
GNQ
9%
17%
74%
|
67 | 30 | 37 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
GNQ
0 - 1
GIN
29%
26%
45%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2024 |
GNQ
4 - 0
CIV
15%
23%
62%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
GNQ
4 - 2
GNB
54%
25%
22%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |