Tunisia vs Equatorial Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
7.1%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
LBY
2 - 5
TUN
21%
25%
54%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
TAN
1 - 1
TUN
14%
23%
63%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
TUN
1 - 0
TAN
79%
15%
6%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
NGA
1 - 1
TUN
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2020 |
TUN
3 - 0
SDN
78%
16%
6%
|
82 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
EQG
1 - 0
TAN
38%
27%
36%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
EQG
1 - 0
LBY
24%
25%
51%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2020 |
LBY
2 - 3
EQG
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
EQG
0 - 1
TUN
12%
23%
66%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
TAN
2 - 1
EQG
45%
25%
30%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |