Tunisia vs Equatorial Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.8%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
10%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.4%
3.8%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2012 |
TUN
5 - 1
RWA
79%
16%
6%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
TUN
1 - 1
PER
41%
28%
31%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
GHA
2 - 1
TUN
35%
27%
38%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2012 |
GAB
1 - 0
TUN
17%
24%
59%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2012 |
NIG
1 - 2
TUN
9%
19%
72%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Equatorial Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
CIV
3 - 0
EQG
85%
11%
4%
|
58 | 88 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
EQG
0 - 1
ZAM
14%
21%
65%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
EQG
2 - 1
SEN
8%
20%
72%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
EQG
1 - 0
LBY
19%
26%
55%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2012 |
EQG
0 - 0
RSA
11%
19%
70%
|
56 | 85 | 29 | 0 |