Tunisia vs Ethiopia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
9.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1965 |
TUN
0 - 0
ALG
45%
21%
34%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1964 |
ALG
1 - 0
TUN
62%
18%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1964 |
TUR
4 - 1
TUN
56%
20%
24%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 May. 1964 |
TUN
3 - 2
ETH
66%
17%
17%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1963 |
TUN
0 - 0
ALG
46%
21%
33%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 1964 |
TUN
3 - 2
ETH
66%
17%
17%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1964 |
GRC
3 - 1
ETH
65%
17%
18%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1963 |
EGY
3 - 0
ETH
81%
11%
7%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1963 |
ETH
4 - 2
TUN
56%
21%
24%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 1963 |
GHA
2 - 0
ETH
84%
10%
6%
|
56 | 72 | 16 | -1 |