Togo vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
37.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
UGA
0 - 1
TOG
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
TOG
2 - 3
GHA
21%
27%
52%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2014 |
GUI
2 - 1
TOG
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
TOG
2 - 1
COD
29%
26%
45%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2013 |
LBY
2 - 0
TOG
60%
23%
17%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
UGA
0 - 1
TOG
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
UGA
2 - 0
GUI
32%
26%
42%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
GHA
1 - 1
UGA
72%
19%
10%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2014 |
NIG
2 - 0
UGA
25%
26%
50%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
MTN
0 - 1
UGA
15%
20%
65%
|
67 | 48 | 19 | 0 |