Togo vs Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
54.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2021 |
TOG
1 - 2
KEN
48%
26%
27%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2021 |
COM
0 - 0
TOG
11%
18%
71%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
TOG
2 - 3
RWA
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2021 |
UGA
1 - 2
TOG
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 0
TOG
77%
16%
7%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2021 |
TUR
0 - 0
GUI
76%
16%
9%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
NAM
2 - 1
GUI
21%
24%
55%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
GUI
1 - 0
MLI
45%
25%
30%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
GUI
2 - 0
CMR
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
MLI
0 - 0
GUI
52%
24%
24%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |