Togo vs Ivory Coast analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
22.9%
65.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
18.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.8%
0-2
15.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2001 |
BEN
1 - 1
TOG
28%
25%
47%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2001 |
TOG
1 - 0
BFA
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2001 |
BFA
1 - 2
TOG
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2001 |
TUN
1 - 0
TOG
80%
14%
7%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2001 |
ANG
1 - 1
TOG
71%
18%
11%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Ivory Coast
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
CIV
1 - 1
NGA
48%
27%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2001 |
MLI
0 - 3
CIV
27%
28%
45%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2000 |
GHA
0 - 2
CIV
38%
28%
34%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2000 |
CMR
3 - 0
CIV
40%
27%
33%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2000 |
CIV
1 - 1
TOG
81%
13%
6%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |