CHAN Qualifying Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Togo vs Benin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
39.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
TOG
0 - 1
ALG
12%
21%
68%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2024 |
ALG
5 - 1
TOG
87%
10%
3%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
EQG
2 - 2
TOG
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
TOG
1 - 1
LBR
64%
22%
15%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
COD
1 - 0
TOG
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Benin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2024 |
RWA
2 - 1
BEN
26%
25%
49%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2024 |
BEN
3 - 0
RWA
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
BEN
2 - 1
LBY
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NGA
3 - 0
BEN
71%
19%
10%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
BEN
2 - 1
NGA
18%
23%
59%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | +1 |