Togo vs Niger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
29.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
NIG
3 - 1
TOG
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
TOG
74%
17%
8%
|
61 | 84 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
TOG
2 - 1
GAB
26%
25%
49%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
GAB
1 - 1
TOG
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
TOG
1 - 0
KEN
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Niger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2013 |
NIG
0 - 0
BFA
36%
26%
38%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
NIG
3 - 1
TOG
40%
26%
34%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +2 |
| 12 Dec. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 0
NIG
78%
17%
6%
|
59 | 83 | 24 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
NIG
1 - 1
SEN
18%
26%
56%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
NIG
2 - 0
GUI
22%
25%
53%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | +2 |