Togo vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
43.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
TOG
1 - 0
CGO
35%
26%
38%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2004 |
LBR
0 - 0
TOG
33%
25%
42%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
TOG
3 - 1
SEN
21%
27%
52%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2004 |
GHA
0 - 0
TOG
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
ZAM
1 - 0
TOG
61%
23%
17%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
MLI
2 - 2
SEN
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
MLI
3 - 0
COD
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2004 |
CGO
1 - 0
MLI
36%
28%
36%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
MLI
1 - 1
ZAM
48%
27%
26%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2004 |
LBR
1 - 0
MLI
19%
24%
57%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | -1 |