Togo vs Malawi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
TOG
2 - 0
NIG
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
BEN
1 - 1
TOG
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
TOG
1 - 1
BEN
35%
26%
40%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
ALG
1 - 0
TOG
78%
15%
7%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
TOG
2 - 0
COM
79%
16%
6%
|
60 | 21 | 39 | +1 |
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
MWI
0 - 0
ANG
29%
27%
44%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2017 |
MWI
0 - 0
MUS
69%
19%
12%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
TAN
2 - 0
MWI
43%
27%
31%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
MWI
1 - 0
COM
79%
15%
6%
|
58 | 21 | 37 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
MWI
0 - 1
MAD
47%
25%
27%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |