Togo vs Liberia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.8%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
24%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2015 |
GHA
1 - 0
TGO
75%
17%
8%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
MUS
1 - 1
TGO
20%
25%
56%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
GHA
3 - 1
TGO
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
TGO
1 - 4
GIN
27%
26%
48%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
TGO
1 - 0
UGA
36%
27%
38%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
LSO
2 - 0
LBR
27%
24%
49%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
LBR
1 - 0
LSO
49%
24%
27%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
AGO
4 - 1
LBR
65%
21%
15%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
LBR
0 - 2
SEN
15%
23%
62%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
UGA
1 - 0
LBR
68%
18%
14%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | -1 |