Togo vs Liberia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2005 |
MAR
0 - 1
TOG
71%
20%
10%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2005 |
SEN
2 - 2
TOG
70%
20%
11%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
TOG
4 - 1
ZAM
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
TOG
1 - 0
BFA
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
MLI
1 - 2
TOG
62%
23%
15%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Liberia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2005 |
LBR
0 - 2
CGO
25%
24%
50%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2005 |
MLI
4 - 1
LBR
74%
17%
9%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
SEN
6 - 1
LBR
85%
11%
4%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
LBR
0 - 3
SEN
13%
22%
66%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
ZAM
1 - 0
LBR
74%
17%
9%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |