Togo vs Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
38.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Togo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2004 |
LBR
0 - 0
TOG
33%
25%
42%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
TOG
3 - 1
SEN
21%
27%
52%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2004 |
GHA
0 - 0
TOG
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
ZAM
1 - 0
TOG
61%
23%
17%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
TOG
1 - 1
BEN
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2004 |
CGO
1 - 0
MLI
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
CGO
3 - 0
LBR
62%
22%
17%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
SEN
2 - 0
CGO
65%
22%
14%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
CGO
1 - 0
GAB
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2003 |
GAB
1 - 1
CGO
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |