Suriname vs Martinique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
47.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Suriname
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
SUR
4 - 0
GRD
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
SUR
1 - 1
HTI
14%
19%
67%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
CUB
1 - 0
SUR
39%
25%
36%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
GRD
1 - 1
SUR
25%
22%
53%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
SUR
0 - 0
PRI
71%
18%
12%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Martinique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
SLV
0 - 0
MTQ
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
MTQ
1 - 0
SLV
35%
26%
40%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
MTQ
1 - 0
CUW
47%
24%
30%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
PAN
3 - 0
MTQ
65%
22%
13%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
CRC
6 - 4
MTQ
75%
17%
8%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |