WC Qual. CONCACAF Fase 1 Parte 1 Final
Global 10-2
Suriname vs Aruba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.2%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
11.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Suriname
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
ABW
1 - 2
SUR
31%
24%
45%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
ANT
2 - 0
SUR
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
SUR
1 - 1
ANT
17%
21%
62%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
SUR
6 - 0
ABW
73%
17%
11%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2002 |
ABW
0 - 2
SUR
23%
24%
53%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Aruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
ABW
1 - 2
SUR
31%
24%
45%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
SUR
6 - 0
ABW
73%
17%
11%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2002 |
ABW
0 - 2
SUR
23%
24%
53%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2000 |
BRB
4 - 0
ABW
70%
17%
13%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2000 |
ABW
1 - 3
BRB
47%
23%
30%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |